Silicon-Calcium Kev Lag Luam Hauv 2026: Kev Xav Tau Zoo, Lub Hauv Paus Outlook Thiab Tus Nqi Tsav Tsheb

Sep 23, 2026 Tso lus

Tuam Tshoj tsim 36,600 tonnes ntawmSilicon{0}}CalciumHauv thawj ib nrab ntawm 2026, nqis 8,400 tonnes los ntawm 45,000 tonnes hauv H1 2025, nrog rau qhov nruab nrab kev khiav hauj lwm poob rau 56.11% los ntawm 66.67% ib xyoos ua ntej (Tychains, 1 Jul 2026). Tus lej zoo li qhov teeb meem xav tau. Nws yog qhov zoo dua nyeem raws li qhov xav tau hloov pauv. Cov sectors uas yuavindustrial silicon{0}}Calciumtab tom rub mus rau lwm qhov kev taw qhia, thiab phau ntawv xaj tau rov- txiav ib ncig ntawm lawv.

TL; DR
  • Tuam Tshoj tuav kwv yees li 60-70% ntawm lub ntiaj tebSilicon{0}}Calciummuaj peev xwm ntau lawm (IndexBox, 2026).
  • H1 2026 tso zis poob 8,400 t xyoo rau xyoo; qib sib xyaw yog hloov mus rau cov xov hlau zoo tshaj - pub thiab qis - cov khoom siv aluminium.
  • Foundry inoculation thov tuav firmer dua steel deoxidation los ntawm ib nrab.
  • EU CBAM nkag mus rau nws cov theem kawg ntawm 1 Lub Ib Hlis 2026; lub 50 t de minimis tseem ceeb tshaj plaws rau me me foundries.
  • Q1 thiab Q2 export quotes firmed; Q3 qhov kev xav tau piav qhia tias "ruaj khov rau kev poob qis" (Price-Saib, 2026).

Dab tsi phau ntawv xaj 2026 qhia tau tiag tiag

Volumes down, qib sib tov

IndexBox tso Suav peev xwm ntawm 550,000–650,000 t / xyoo tiv thaiv kev lag luam pom tseeb ntawm 400,000–500,000 t / xyoo, txhais tau tias tag nrho - xyoo siv ntawm 70–80%. Qhov ntawd tsis cuam tshuam txog 56.11% H1 kev khiav haujlwm. Ib daim duab suav suav cov ntawv teev npe muaj peev xwm; lwm cov kev tshawb fawb furnaces uas tau khiav tiag tiag. H1 dip yog los ntawm cov nqi hluav taws xob thiab cov npoo npoo, tsis yog los ntawm kev sib tsoo kawg - siv.

Hluav taws xob yog kwv yees li 35-45% ntawm cov nqi tsim khoom (IndexBox, 2026). Thaum lub hwj chim tariffs txav, furnaces idle ntev ua ntej buyers tsis ordering.

Cov lus piav qhia feem ntau hais tias poob Suav cov khoom siv roj av yuav tsum rubSilicon{0}}Calciumxav tau nqes tonnage rau tonnage. Qhov ntawd yog ib nrab txoj cai. Crude steel tso zis yuav tsum poob qis ntawm -ib zaug - tus lej txhua xyoo tus lej txog xyoo 2030 (IndexBox, 2026), capping qhov loj tshaj plaws kawg -siv ntu - tab sis kev siv ib tonne yog nce hauv cov ntawv thov tshwj xeeb, yog li kev thov alloy tsis poob qis.

Tus nqi teeb liab

Qhov kev sib tw H1 2026 ntxiv txog +600 RMB/t ntawm nws lub ncov, thiab Tychains kwv yees H2 2026 tus nqi hauv tsev qis dua 9,000 RMB/t. Tus nqi xa tawm tau ruaj khov: Tuam Tshoj FOB Shanghai tau nce +3.40% peb lub hlis twg hauv Q1 2026 thiab +2.36% hauv Q2 2026, hais rau Ca30% min, Si60% min. Q3 2026 kev pom zoo yog "ruaj khov rau kev poob qis" (Price-Saib, 2026).

Ib tug caveat ntawm cov ntaub ntawv. Kev ntsuam xyuas-raws li kev khiav hauj lwm tus nqi thiab kev kwv yees muaj peev xwm ntsuas qhov sib txawv ntawm lub sijhawm sib txawv, yog li lawv tsis sib haum xeeb. Kho cov kev taw qhia raws li txhim khu kev qha thiab lub tonnage kiag li kwv yees.

Steelmaking: deoxidation, tswj kev suav nrog thiab xaim - pub mov hloov

Vim li cas lub hauv paus load nyob ruaj khov

Hauv lub ladle,Silicon{0}}Calcium rau steelmakingdeoxidises lub yaj thiab hloov cov inclusions, converting hard angular alumina rau hauv softer calcium aluminates uas tiv taus qaug zog tawg. Nws kuj txhawb desulfurisation. Cov no yog qhov zoo - cov haujlwm tseem ceeb, tsis yog cov khoom siv ntxiv. Ib lub zeb uas tsis pub noj calcium-silicon txaus ntshai nozzle blockage, defects deg thiab tsis kam txais cua sov.

Qhov ntawd ua rau qhov xav tau tus nqi sib npaug- tsis yooj yim ntawm cov npoo, vim tias kev hloov pauv ntawm lub voj voog luv luv yog qhov tsis tshua muaj thaum ua kom muaj txiaj ntsig deoxidiser txhais tau tias rov ua dua - xyuas tag nrho cov khoom lag luam nqes nqes.

Hlau- pub mis nce hnyav ib tonne

Cov txheej txheem hloov mus saib yog hloov dua siab tshiab los ntawm ntau qhov sib ntxiv rau cored- xaim noj thiab kev txhaj tshuaj sib sib zog nqus, uas muab cov calcium ntawm qhov tob tswj, txhim kho kev rov zoo thiab txiav fume. Kev rov qab siab dua txhais tau tias tsawg dua cov khoom siv rau ib qho cua sov. Qhov offset yog cov qib uas yav tas los yuav raws li cov khoom pheej yig tam sim no zaum hauv cov saw hlau nruj dua, thiab qis -aluminium thiab qis- cov qib carbon muaj 15-25% tus nqi (IndexBox, 2026). Tus nqi ib tonne nce txawm qhov twg tonnage tsis.

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Foundries: ductile hlau inoculation tuav txoj kab

Ductile, los yog nodular, hlau nyob ntawm inoculation los tswj graphite duab thiab nodule suav.Silicon{0}}Calcium rau castingyog tus qauv inoculant, thiab foundry thov lem casting ntau lawm - automotive Cheebtsam, cua turbine vaj tse, yeeb nkab, municipal castings - es tsis crude steel tonnage.

Los ntawm 2026 qhov no yog qhov ruaj khov ntawm ob ntu, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau North America thiab Europe, qhov twg reshoring -txuas kev nqis peev nyob rau hauv lub peev xwm casting tseem tab tom ua haujlwm. Cov qib granular thiab hmoov yog kwv yees li 25-35% ntawm Suav kev noj hauv tsev (IndexBox, 2026).

Saib lub rooj sib txoos qib.Silicon{0}}Calcium hlauyog teev raws li Ca30Si60, txog 30% calcium thiab 60% silicon, los yog leaner Ca28Si55. Ntau nplooj ntawv xa khoom hloov pauv cov duab no, thiab ntawm daim ntawv qhia tshwj xeeb uas ua yuam kev hloov pauv tus nqi ntxiv thiab rov qab tsis yog kev nthuav qhia. Cov neeg yuav khoom aSilicon Calcium alloyyuav tsum tau lees paub lub rooj sib tham hauv kev sau ntawv ua ntej booking.

Daim ntawv qhia kev xav tau hauv cheeb tsam: qhov twg ntim tau txav mus

North America

Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam pom tseeb raws li HTS 7202.99.20.00 nrog 5% lub luag haujlwm dav dav, thiab Tshooj 301 tariffs siv rau Suav - cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm. Reshoring peev yog ntxiv cov ntim ntim hauv tsev, tab sis Asmeskas cov neeg yuav khoom nyob twj ywm hnyav ntshuam- nyob ntawm cov hlau nws tus kheej.

Teb chaws Europe

EU CBAM cov cai tseem ceeb tau pib thaum Lub Ib Hlis 1, 2026. Daim ntawv pov thawj muag tau qhib rau 1 Lub Ob Hlis 2027, thawj qhov kev tshaj tawm thiab kev tso npe yuav yog 30 Cuaj hlis 2027, thiab 50 t de minimis siv rau ib tus neeg xa khoom hauv ib xyoos (KPMG/PwC, 2026). Rau ib qho chaw me me uas qhov pib tseem ceeb tshaj li tus nqi carbon. Ferroglobe nthuav dav European siab{10}} muaj peev xwm purity los ntawm kwv yees li 20% (tshaj tawm Lub Ib Hlis 2025).

Southeast Asia

Indonesia, Nyab Laj thiab Thaib tau ntxiv cov hlau thiab cov khoom tsim muaj peev xwm. Peak- lub sij hawm chaw nres nkoj congestion thiab hauv zos- cov ntsiab lus cov cai zoo li tsaws tus nqi ntau dua li qhov FOB nqe lus ua, thiab cov neeg yuav khoom ntawm no lean mus rau Ca28Si55 ntawm tus nqi.

Middle East

Saudi thiab UAE steel nthuav dav khi rau giga-qhov kev tsim kho yog qhov xav tau tiag tiag tsis yog kev kwv yees. Jebel Ali tseem yog Gulf re-export hub.

South America

Brazil thiab Argentina qhia steel thiab tsheb -casting thov, tab sis Mercosur tariffs thiab qeeb kev lis kev cai clearance ntxiv ua hauj lwm- nqi peev uas nce tus nqi av zoo ntawm txhua yam khoom xa tuaj.

Tus neeg yuav khoom

Demand-Tsav-Cov Ntawv Qhia Txog Cov Khoom: Hlau thiab Foundry

☑ Steel deoxidation thiab suav nrog tswj ↑ HIGH
Kev ua tau zoo- tseem ceeb thiab nyuaj los hloov ntawm lub voj voog luv; lub hauv paus ruaj khov.
☑ Ductile-hlau inoculation ↑ HIGH
Tracks casting tso zis, tsis crude steel; ntu firmer los ntawm H1 2026.
☑ Hlau - pub mis thiab txhaj tshuaj hloov pauv ↑ HIGH
Txo cov khoom ib qho cua sov tab sis thawb ntim rau hauv cov hwm, nruj nruj cov qib.
☑ Lub peev xwm ntawm Foundry hloov → MODERATE
Reshoring commissions tshiab casting kab nyob rau sab hnub poob thaum laus Asian muaj peev xwm idles.
☑ Kev tsim kho hauv cheeb tsam xav tau → MODERATE
Gulf giga- tej yaam num ntxiv ntim tiag; Suav cuab yeej tsis muaj zog rho nws.
☑ Hloov kev pheej hmoo ↓ LOW
Ferro-silicon thiab mischmetal npog fragments ntawm txoj haujlwm, tsis suav nrog kev hloov kho.

Cov lus nug nquag

Cov haujlwm twg siv Silicon ntau tshaj -Calcium hauv 2026?

Steelmaking yog cov neeg siv khoom loj tshaj plaws, sivSilicon{0}}Calciumrau deoxidation, suav nrog hloov kho thiab desulfurisation hauv lub ladle. Foundries casting ductile hlau yog thib ob, yuav granular thiab hmoov qib raws li inoculants. Ua ke lawv tswj hwm Suav kev noj haus hauv tsev, nrog cov qib granular thiab hmoov ib leeg ntawm 25-35% ntawm tag nrho (IndexBox, 2026).

 

Silicon-Calcium siv pes tsawg ib tonne ntawm hlau?

Kev siv yog daim ntawv thov- tshwj xeeb, feem ntau qhia hauv kilograms ib tonne ntawm cov hlau. Cored-cov khw muag khoom siv hlau feem ntau siv cov khoom siv tsawg dua li cov khoom ntau-cov khw muag khoom ntxiv vim tias kev rov qab tau siab dua. Vim hais tias tus nqi ntxiv nyob ntawm seb cov piam thaj load, qib aluminium thiab lub hom phiaj kev huv, kho ib qho ntawm ib qho -tonne daim duab raws li kev kwv yees thiab siv tau los ntawm koj tus kheej cov ntawv teev cua sov.

 

Vim li cas Silicon-Calcium siv rau deoxidation hauv steelmaking?

Calcium muaj kev sib raug zoo rau cov pa oxygen thiab sulphur, thiab nws hloov cov khoom alumina suav nrog rau hauv cov kua calcium aluminates uas tiv thaiv caster-nozzle clogging. Qhov kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm deoxidation, desulfurisation thiab suav nrog kev tswj xyuas yog vim li casSilicon{0}}Calcium rau steelmakingyog qhov zoo- tseem ceeb. Tshem tawm nws txaus ntshai nozzle blockage, deg defects thiab rejected heats.

 

Silicon-Calcium txhim kho cov hlau hlau hauv cov chaw tsim khoom li cas?

Hauv ductile hlau, inoculation tswj graphite zoo, nodule suav thiab txias nyiam.Silicon{0}}Calcium rau castingua raws li cov inoculant lig, muab cov chaw nucleation uas txhawb kev cog lus, zoo - faib cov nodules. Tsis zoo inoculation qhia li carbides, tsis tshua muaj nodularity thiab machinability teeb meem. Cov qib granular rau inoculation thiab xaim- pub cores yog ib feem ntawm 25–35% feem ntawm Suav noj hauv tsev (IndexBox, 2026).

 

Puas yog kev hloov mus rau xaim - pub ntxiv Silicon- Calcium xav tau?

Tsis nyob rau hauv raw tonnage, thiab qhov ntawd yog cov lus teb ncaj ncees: kev rov qab siab dua txhais tau tias cov khoom siv tsawg dua ib lub tshav kub. Cov nyhuv yog nyob ntawm kev sib xyaw thiab tus nqi, vim tias xaim- pub mis thawb ntim rau hauv nruj me ntsis qhia qis-aluminium thiab qis- cov pa roj carbon qib nqa 15-25% hwm (IndexBox, 2026). Kev hloov pauv tuaj yeem nqa cov nyiaj tau los ib tonne rau ibTuam Tshoj Silicon{0}}Calcium tsumthaum tonnage flattens.

 

Cov khoom siv roj av hauv Suav teb cuam tshuam li cas rau Silicon-Calcium xav tau?

Tuam Tshoj cov khoom siv roj av yuav tsum poob qis ntawm -ib ib - tus lej txhua xyoo txog xyoo 2030 (IndexBox, 2026), capping qhov loj tshaj plaws kawg -siv ntu. Qhov tshwm sim yog lub qab nthab ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm qhov ntim ntau dua li lub caij nplooj zeeg sai, vim tias ib -tonne siv tau nce hauv cov xaim- pub thiab hwm - cov ntawv thov qib. Hlau tonnage thiab alloy tonnage yog correlated tab sis tsis proportional.

 

Cov cheeb tsam twg uas qhia txog kev loj hlob sai tshaj plaws rau Silicon-Calcium?

Cov Neeg Esxias Qab Teb Hnub Tuaj thiab Middle East tau ntxiv cov ntim nrawm tshaj plaws hauv cov ntsiab lus txheeb ze, tau tsav los ntawm cov hlau tshiab thiab cov khoom tsim muaj peev xwm hauv Indonesia, Nyab Laj thiab Thaib teb thiab los ntawm Saudi thiab UAE kev tsim kho kev thov hla Jebel Ali. North America loj hlob ntawm kev nqis peev rov qab los, Tebchaws Europe tau ruaj khov nrog CBAM rov tsim cov khoom lag luam, thiab Suav cov kev xav tau hauv tebchaws tau qis dua.

Summary and 2026 outlook

Rau tag nrho ntawm 2026 lubntiaj teb no Silicon{0}}Calcium marketzoo li lub tiaj- ntim, zoo dua- sib xyaw xyoo. Cov nqi suav hauv Suav tau kwv yees qis dua 9,000 RMB / t hauv H2 (Tychains, 1 Lub Xya Hli 2026) thiab cov ntawv xa tawm tau ruaj khov rau qis qis rau Q3 (Price-Saib, 2026). Kev thov hauv qab no tsis ploj mus; nws yog tsom rau hauv qhov chaw tsim khoom, xaim- qib noj thiab tus nqi kawg ntawm qhov kev qhia tshwj xeeb, thaum cov khoom lag luam ntau tonnage ntsib Suav steel qab nthab.

Qhov tsab xov xwm no yuav tsis thov: tsis muaj tus nqi tshwj xeeb 2027, tsis muaj ib daim duab tso tawm Suav, tsis muaj tus nqi CBAM ib tonne ntawm alloy. Cov no nyob ntawm lub hwj chim tariffs, carbon accounting cov cai tseem tab tom ua tiav, thiab txoj cai txiav txim siab sab nraum ib qho qauv. Peb kuj tsis kho ib qho kev khiav hauj lwm - ntsuas ntsuas raws li qhov tseeb ntawm lub teb chaws cov zis.

Rau pawg neeg yuav khoom, txhim kho qib kev qhia tshwj xeeb thiab cov kev xav rov qab ua ntej sib tham tus nqi. Sib tov, tsis yog xov xwm tonnage, yog qhov twg 2026 cov khoom tau raug rov ua dua - txiav.

Zanew Hlau muaj ntau tshaj 30 xyoo ntawm kev tsim khoom hauv ferroalloys thiab industrial additives, thiab xa tawm mus rau ntau tshaj 100 lub teb chaws. Peb lub Hoobkas thiab chaw ua lag luam nyob ntawm 25th Floor, Huafu Commercial Center, Wenfeng District, Anyang City, Henan Province. Rau cov qhab nia, ntim thiab sijhawm xa khoom, sau rausales@zanewmetal.com.

Xa koj qhov kub thiab txias rau peb, lub hom phiaj sulfur thiab txhuas txwv, thiab cov txheej txheem ntxiv uas nyiam, thiab peb yuav rov qab los nrog kev pom zoo qib thiab daim ntawv pov thawj tus nqi -.

Qhia rau peb paub tias koj lub khw muag khoom lossis cov chaw tsim khoom lag luam ua haujlwm li cas hauv peb lub hlis twg no - qib, tonnage thiab qhov chaw nres nkoj xa khoom - thiab peb lub rooj sib tham yuav teb nrog cov lus qhia thiab cov lus hais.

Yog tias koj muaj lus nug txog kev lag luam lossis kev xav tau kev pab txogSilicon{0}}Calcium, thov mus saib peb nplooj ntawv tiv toj:Tiv tauj peb